Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.004074 0.004281 0.004493 0.004728 0.004980 0.005243 0.005538
2025-10-05 0.003731 0.004039 0.004369 0.004749 0.005177 0.005646 0.006201
2025-10-12 0.003543 0.003913 0.004321 0.004806 0.005371 0.006012 0.006801
2025-10-19 0.003350 0.003757 0.004216 0.004774 0.005441 0.006221 0.007213
2025-10-26 0.003196 0.003631 0.004130 0.004750 0.005508 0.006417 0.007605
2025-11-02 0.003059 0.003514 0.004044 0.004715 0.005552 0.006577 0.007955
2025-11-09 0.002999 0.003483 0.004056 0.004795 0.005735 0.006916 0.008544
2025-11-16 0.002888 0.003385 0.003980 0.004757 0.005765 0.007054 0.008874
2025-11-23 0.002803 0.003312 0.003930 0.004749 0.005829 0.007236 0.009268
2025-11-30 0.002697 0.003210 0.003838 0.004680 0.005806 0.007298 0.009495
2025-12-07 0.002606 0.003121 0.003759 0.004624 0.005796 0.007373 0.009741
2025-12-14 0.002541 0.003064 0.003718 0.004616 0.005848 0.007533 0.010116
2025-12-21 0.002424 0.002936 0.003582 0.004475 0.005714 0.007429 0.010097
2025-12-28 0.002378 0.002900 0.003564 0.004493 0.005800 0.007641 0.010565
2026-01-04 0.002349 0.002884 0.003572 0.004546 0.005937 0.007930 0.011170
2026-01-11 0.002290 0.002827 0.003523 0.004517 0.005953 0.008040 0.011497
2026-01-18 0.002238 0.002776 0.003480 0.004494 0.005977 0.008162 0.011849
2026-01-25 0.002184 0.002723 0.003431 0.004462 0.005983 0.008257 0.012160
2026-02-01 0.002172 0.002724 0.003457 0.004536 0.006151 0.008608 0.012926
2026-02-08 0.002122 0.002673 0.003409 0.004501 0.006153 0.008696 0.013242
2026-02-15 0.002084 0.002637 0.003381 0.004494 0.006195 0.008850 0.013684
2026-02-22 0.002029 0.002577 0.003316 0.004430 0.006147 0.008854 0.013853
2026-03-01 0.001980 0.002523 0.003261 0.004378 0.006114 0.008881 0.014067